Who should you buy, sell, or keep this week?
Would you have chosen the record if you were Mike McDaniel?Fantasy Football Today: The Best Waiver Wire, Week 5 Trade Targets

Only 3 points out of 73.

Table of Contents

Fantasy Football Today: The Best Waiver Wire, Week 5 Trade Targets

Anyway…

We lost Mike Williams to a season-ending knee injury. But overall we otherwise had a decent injury success in Week 3.

This means that the trading value chart has not changed too dramatically. We’re also a week closer to seeing Cooper Kupp and Jonathan Taylor on a football field. This should put a smile on your face.

Just like creating graphics makes me smile.

Check out all our card options:
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Proceedings
To create the market version of the fantasy football value chart, I collect consensus rankings from experts and use them to feed my model.

The goal is to align players within their position groups and then look for intersections between positions. Expert Ratings (ECR) determine the market model as most users follow experts (duh).

Then I run the Draft Sharks ranking using the same model and normalize the scale to 100.

Comparing the ECR and Draft Sharks values generates the VS Market bar on the chart.

How to use a trading value chart
Add player values (left column) to each side of the box and compare for fairness. Add up the values of several players on each side and you could be securing bigger offers.

Trade value charts are designed for one-to-one trades and do not work well when looking at larger or distorted trades.

Two-for-one and three-for-one trades should take into account the benefits a top player brings to a team and free up roster space. In two-on-one, three-on-one, or three-on-two transactions, the side that sends the most players has to overpay for the smaller side.

For example, if you trade for a player with a value of 75 and want to send two players, they will probably need a total value of 30-50% more than 75 (98-113).

Use trade value charts to search for position swaps
Let’s say I have tons of RB depth and want to trade a 35-rated RB for a WR. I’ll look for WRs around 35 and check rosters to see if they’re weak at RB.

I look for “win-win” deals that are likely to come to fruition.

In my opinion, it is a waste of time to send distorted and/or fake offers that do not help either party.

Fantasy Trade Value Chart vs. Market – Week 4

Fantasy trading targets
Isiah Pacheco, RB, Kansas City Chiefs
DS value: 24.0
Market: 20.0
Profit: +4

I hope you all missed the Chiefs-Bears game last week. It wasn’t a good way to spend a few hours.

Assuming you missed it and checked the score, it looks like Clyde Edwards-Helaire and Jerick McKinnon were more involved than they actually were.

Pacheco started and led the backfield before the game became a complete blowout, playing 32 of Patrick Mahomes’ 56 snaps.

CEH entered the field along with Blaine Gabbert to end the third and fourth quarters.

Pacheco is healthy after offseason surgery. For the market price, it seems to be a top buy.

Darren Waller, TE, New York Giants
DS value: 27
Market: 22
Profit: +5

Waller ranks sixth among TEs in target percentage and fifth in total targets.

According to PFF, he is receiving 2 fewer PPR points per game than expected for his effort.

Waller gets the job. And the Achilles tendon that made him questionable early in Week 1 wasn’t a problem.

He’s the perfect buy-low TE who will have positive TD regression and easier matchups in the future.

Recognitions:
run back
Guus Edwards +11
David Montgomery +16
Kyren Williams +18

Wide receiver
Cooper Coup +16
Mike Evans +9
Christian Kirk +7

Tight ends
David Njoku +10
Mark Andrews +16

Quarterbacks
Josh Allen +16

Imagination sells
DJ Moore, WR, Chicago Bears
DS value: 13.5
Market: May 26th
Inequality: -16

DJ Moore performed solidly in Week 2 and Week 3, keeping his market price artificially high.

The Chicago Bears are bad, bad. The offense is broken at a fundamental level and it seems unlikely that the coaching staff and Fields will.

If you’re sticking with your FAB or waiver priority for a potential addition to the league, you’ll probably want to make sure your powder stays dry for at least another week, as Week 5 is not the time to go all out.

However, there is a caveat to that statement: Unless Javonte Williams’ hip injury is serious, this is not the week to go all out.

We received a report on Monday morning that said Williams “is not expected to miss much – if any – time,” but we did not receive any further details as of Monday evening.

Should Williams end up suffering an injury that costs him several weeks, Jaleel McLaughlin would be worth a decent offer, although still significantly less than what Puka Nacua, Jerome Ford, or De’Vachane have made in recent weeks.

Jamey’s full list of priorities for each position in the thread can be found here. Here are my thoughts on the top five options for Fantasy Football Today: The Best Waiver Wire, Week 5

Amey Eisenberg’s main target
Jaleel McLaughlin, RB, Broncos (3%) – At the start of the season we assumed that Samaje Perine would be the go-to guy if something happened to Williams, but now I’m starting to think Perine has his role and McLaughlin has that The role will be taken by someone who steps in in Williams’ absence.

It will still be a matter of committee, but McLaughin looks dynamic in both phases of the game, while Perine has always been a runner type who grabs whatever is there.

I have both rated RB2 for Week 5. If Perine is available, he’s a good streaming option if you need one.


Jake Ferguson, TE, Cowboys (63%) – I’m giving this a lowercase L because I thought Ferguson might lose his job after a few tough games to start the season.

But none of the other tight ends on the Cowboys’ roster have improved while Ferguson has, with 12 catches for 125 yards on 14 targets in recent games.

I still don’t think he’s a particularly impressive talent, but he plays a consistent role in an offense that will use him, which we can’t say for some tight ends. Fantasy Football Today: The Best Waiver Wire, Week 5


Cole Kmet, TE, Bears (58%) – Kmet is in a similar situation to Ferguson.

I think he’s probably a better player, but in a Chicago offense that has only looked decent so far and throwing the ball for about half a game, he’s going to get wiped out.

Both could be low-end TE1s, but I think both probably don’t have any real streaming options right now, making them good targets if you don’t have anyone you can trust.

Michael Wilson, WR, Cardinals (5%) – Wilson dealt with a lot of injuries in college, but he delivered most of them when he was on the field, and he’s starting to do the same for the Cardinals.

Week 4 was actually his first really good game, as he had previously relied solely on big plays. Still, seven catches for 76 yards and a few scores is the kind of performance we expect from a young man. Fantasy Football Today: The Best Waiver Wire, Week 5

I think Williams probably won’t be a consistently useful option in the near future.

But he shows the ability to win on the field and in the red zone, and that could make him very useful as his game continues to grow – especially if Kyler Murray can return and take a surprisingly strong Cardinals team to the next level.


Jameson Williams, WR, Lions (47%) – There were a lot of people who thought Williams was the best wide receiver in last year’s draft class, and he finished despite an ACL injury that kept him out until well into his rookie season. Fantasy Football Today: The Best Waiver Wire, Week 5

Prevented us from finishing 12th overall throughout the season.

Things didn’t go well for him, as he had one catch in six games as a rookie, suffered a hamstring injury in the preseason, and subsequently served a four-game suspension for gambling.

He’s eligible to return this week, and while Dan Campbell had low expectations for Williams’ return, it’s a rare bet on a talented blue-chip prospect with a clear path to a role like his.

It doesn’t cost much to get it. Post a 7% offer in FAB and see if you win.

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